Lynn Intake and Stability Rates 2012

Previously, we looked at Lynn public school attrition rates. Here we look at two other statistics regarding school enrollment: the intake rate and stability rate. The intake rate measures the number of students that enroll in the state, a district, or school after the beginning of the school year (generally after October 1st in a given school year). The stability rate measures how many students remain in a district or school throughout the entire school year as measured through a comparison of October 1st and end of school year enrollment information.

Below is the intake and stability rate information for the Lynn public school district and KIPP Academy Lynn Charter School for the 2011-12 school year.

District	% Intake	% Stability
Lynn	8.7%	91.3%
KIPP	4.4%	94.9%

Within LPS, 91.3% of students who were enrolled in an LPS school as of October 1, 2011 remained in the district through the end of the school year; KIPP's stability rate was slightly higher at 94.9%.

At the individual school level, stability rates across all public schools in Lynn (including KIPP) were relatively similar with the exception of Fecteau-Leary Junior/Senior High which had the lowest stability rate in the city at 56%.

 Lynn Public School Stability Rates 2012

 

The Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education also reports stability rates at the subgroup level.

                                                             Lynn                   KIPP

English Language Learner	90.1%	94.4%
Low Income	90.9%	94.4%
Students w/ Disabilities	89.0%	93.8%
African Am/Black	88.4%	97.5%
Asian	92.0%	100.0%
Hispanic/Latino	91.1%	94.0%
Multi-Race, Non-Hispanic	89.6%	100.0%
White	93.3%	91.4%

Within LPS, African American/Black students had the lowest stability rate while at KIPP, the subgroup with the lowest stability rate was White students. 

Intake rates at each Lynn school did vary somewhat with Fecteau-Leary reporting the highest intake rate (32.6%). The percentage of students enrolling in a public Lynn school after October 1st ranged from 2.9% to 32.6%.

 Lynn Public School Intake Rates 2012

 

In considering both the stability and intake rates as well as the attrition rate, one has to consider the implications these statistics has achievement for public schools in Lynn. Having a large percentage of students or even a specific population of students both enrolling and transferring out of a school or district at any point in the year and/or after the school has the potential to have a negative impact on the school or district's overall achievement in terms of standardized testing and other academic indicators.

Below are the stability, intake and attrition rates for Lynn elementary schools along with their accountability rankings; Level 3 and 4 schools have been highlighted in blue. Accountability rankings are as follows:

• Level 1:  On track to college and career readiness
• Level 2:  Not meeting gap closing goals
• Level 3:  Focus: Lowest performing 20% of schools (including schools with the largest gaps)
• Level 4:  Priority: Lowest performing schools
• Level 5:  Priority: Chronically under-performing schools

School	% Stability	% Intake	Attrition Rate	Accountability Ranking
Aborn	96.7%	2.8%	13.6%	Level 1
Brickett	92.9%	6.2%	12.5%	Level 2
Callahan	90.2%	10.9%	9.0%	Level 2
Cobbet	89.2%	11.4%	27.5%	Level 3
Connery	86.3%	11.1%	19.6%	Level 4
Drewicz	91.2%	9.2%	17.5%	Level 3
Ford	89.0%	9.9%	9.8%	Level 3
Harrington	89.5%	16.4%	21.3%	Level 4
Hood	87.0%	12.6%	16.3%	Level 2
Ingalls	89.3%	13.9%	12.9%	Level 2
Lincoln-Thomson	94.0%	7.7%	4.1%	Level 2
Lynn Woods	97.5%	3.7%	6.1%	Level 3
Sewall-Anderson	96.1%	6.4%	9.6%	Level 1
Shoemaker	95.9%	2.9%	6.3%	Level 1
Sisson	93.9%	8.3%	8.0%	Level 2
Tracy	89.8%	11.6%	14.8%	Level 2

Here we see that Level 4 Harrington, for example, has a 89.5% stability rate and a 21.3% attrition. This coupled with the 16.4% intake rate suggests that Harrington's student enrollment sees considerable changes throughout the school year and from year to year. In thinking school achievement, consideration must be made of pertinent mobility related statistics (stability, intake and attrition) in addition to other factors order to have an accurate picture of the school or district's overall achievement, student population and the challenges that the school or district may be facing.

  

All Data Taken from: www.doe.mass.edu

Lynn Attrition Rates 2012-13

The attrition rate refers to the percentage of students who leave a particular school or school district from the end of one school year to the beginning of the next. Here we look at the attrition rate for public schools in Lynn.

From the end of the 2011-12 school to the beginning of the 2012-13 school year 5.4% of students who were enrolled in a Lynn public school left the district; at KIPP Academy Lynn Charter School, the attrition overall was also 5.4%. Below is a graph indicating the attrition rate by grade level for grades 1 - 11 for both LPS and KIPP (*KIPP currently only enrolls students in grades 5 - 10).

 

The table indicates that for the Lynn public school district, the highest attrition rate is at the 4th grade level after which 12.2% of students leave before entering the 5th grade within the district. At KIPP, the highest attrition rate is after the 8th grade when 10.1% of students leave before entering the 9th grade.

At the individual school level within LPS, attrition rates ranged from 4.1% (Lincoln-Thomson) to 27.5% (Cobbet). Of the elementary schools, Cobbet had the highest attrition rate; Marshall had the highest attrition rate at the middle school level and Lynn English at the high school level.

The Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education also tracks the attrition rate for schools and districts by individual subgroup. Below are the attrition rates by subgroup for LPS.

For the most part, the attrition rates across subgroups were very similar. The subgroup with the highest overall attrition rate was the African American/Black subgroup at 7.3%. Attrition rates by subgroup ranged from 3.4% to 7.6%.

Attrition rates by both subgroup and grade varied. While African American students had a 7.6% attrition rate overall, at the 4th grade level attrition was 26.4%. For nearly all of the subgroups listed here, there was an uptick in the attrition rate in the 4th grade with double digit attrition rates in 9 of the 11 categories.

Here we look at KIPP's attrition rates by subgroup.

 

KIPP's attrition rates at the subgroup level ranged from 2.6% to 16.7% with White students having the highest attrition of all the subgroups. Males and females had nearly identical attrition rates similar to the Lynn public school district while race/ethnicity subgroups differed considerably. While Hispanic/Latino students had a 0% attrition rate at the 5th grade level, White students had a 20% attrition rate and African American students a 3.7% attrition rate (there was too small of a sample size to collect data for Asian students at this level).

From the 2011-12 to the 2012-13 school year, LPS's enrollment went from 13,731 students to 14,139; KIPP, which is in the process of adding a new grade each year until it reaches grade 12, went from 466 students in grades 5- 9 to 569 students in grades 5 - 10.

Given that there is also an intake rate and that LPS is experiencing issues with overcrowding, do you think attrition is an issue for public schools in Lynn?

All data taken from: www.doe.mass.edu

Lynn School Committee Meeting: 4/11/13

The next Lynn School Committee meeting is scheduled for Thursday, April 11 at 7:00pm (*the meeting will be preceded by a policy sub-committee meeting at 6:00pm and an open mike session at 6:45pm). SC meetings take place at 90 Commercial Street.

Items on the agenda include: 

-Translation/Interpreter Procedures

-Superintendent's Evaluations - Discussion of Goals

-Vote for last day of school for the 2012 - 2013 school year - June 27, 2013

For the full agenda, see:  http://www.lynnschools.org/documents/district/school_committee/2013_notices/SC%20Agenda%20-%204-11-13%20-%20City%20Clerk.pdf